Harry Targ
United States/Chinese Relations in the
Twenty-First Century
In a speech on July 23, 2020 Secretary of State Mike
Pompeo declared that the Nixon opening to China in 1972 was a mistake. “We must admit a hard truth that should guide
us in the years and decades to come: that if we want to have a free 21st
century, and not the Chinese century of which Xi Jinping dreams, the old
paradigm of blind engagement with China simply won’t get it done. We must not continue it and we must not return
to it.” (Edward Wong, Steven Lee Myers, “Officials Push U.S.-China Relations
Toward Point of No Return,” The New York Times, July 25, 2020). If it is true that the Nixon/Kissinger foreign
policy toward China did in fact facilitate the weakening of socialism as a
world force, why is the Secretary of State now calling “playing the China card”
a mistake?
The Long Troubled United States Relations with
China: US Globalism, the Open Door Notes, and the Centrality of China for
Building a Global Empire
The developing United States obsession with China
(leaving aside the super-exploitation of Chinese labor and profound
anti-Chinese racism in the United States) has its roots in the rise of the US
as a great power. As historians such as
William Appleman Williams have pointed out, the United States emerged as an
industrial power on the world stage between the end of the Civil War and the
1890s. Not only was the US economy
experiencing industrialization, but private entrepreneurs were building a
transcontinental railroad, with Chinese labor, to create a continental
empire. Coupled with industrialization
and a vast transportation network, there were agricultural surpluses well beyond
the consumer needs of persons in the United States. Williams concluded that by the 1880s the
United States, because of increased agricultural productivity, began to seek
world markets for its goods.
Increasingly the industrial and agricultural
revolutions in the United States were leading to increased competition with
European imperial powers and the rising Japanese empire. A sector of the United States political class,
exemplified by former Secretary of the Navy and soon-to-be president Theodore
Roosevelt, argued for the United States to develop a global vision and a naval
military capability to facilitate becoming a global empire, particularly to
challenge Europe. After diplomatic skirmishes with Great Britain over who
should have dominant influence in Latin America, the United States entered the
Cuban anti-colonial war against the Spanish empire in 1898. (Over the subsequent years until 1959 the
United States replaced Spain as the colonial overseer of Cuba). In addition, the United States took Puerto
Rico, reaffirmed its dominance over the Hawaiian Islands and seized control of
the Philippines. To further the
globalization of US empire President Roosevelt was able to get Congressional
support for a “two-ocean” navy. The
United States was on the road to becoming a world power.
But the lack of control of the political economy of
China remained an obstacle to the completion of the imperial project. The 4,000-year-old Chinese empire, with vast
lands and people, and neighboring tributary countries, had begun to deconstruct
in the nineteenth century. The Opium
Wars of 1839-42 and 1856 were carried out by Great Britain and later France;
Germany and Russia joined in to force China to open its domestic markets to
foreign capitalist penetration. The
imperial powers carved out concessions and spheres of influence in China. Japan defeated China in the war of 1894-95
and annexed Taiwan.
The devolution of the Qing Dynasty and expanding
foreign presence led to movements within China of reform and resistance. A
secret martial arts society known as the Boxers rose up in 1899 to attack
foreigners and foreign culture. The
Boxers were at first supported by the imperial court but eventually were defeated
by an international army which marched to Beijing. The US sent troops along with European powers
and Japan. The defeat of the Boxer
Rebellion and its nationalist program solidified growing European and Japanese
control over the vast Chinese empire.
Fearful of being frozen out of the vast potential Chinese market, President William McKinley’s Secretary of State, John Hay, issued two “notes” to European powers in 1899 and 1900 indicating that the United States would insist upon equal access to Chinese markets, even in areas of the country that had been seen as part of the “spheres of influence” of the colonial powers. Traditional interpreters of United States foreign policy, such as George Kennan, regarded John Hay’s Open Door Notes as examples of typical US diplomatic bluster; empty threats that could not be backed up by economic or military power. Williams in his classic, The Tragedy of American Diplomacy, argues that the Notes were emblematic of the development of United States global imperial power.
Revolution and Civil War, the Missionary
Spirit, World War II, and the Victory of Communism in China
The Chinese state continued its steady decline after
the Boxer Rebellion. A democratic
revolutionary movement led by Dr. Sun Yatsen emerged to overthrow the Qing
Dynasty in the uprising of 1911. The
goal of the Kuomintang (KMT) was to establish a modern democratic republic and
secure independence from the imperial powers.
The Qing dynasty collapsed but China soon fell into disunity and
conflict among competing feudal warlords.
At the same time, the presence of Christian
missionaries, many from the United States, continued to grow. Several of these missionaries and their
descendants would later influence US foreign policy toward China. Pearl Buck, a popular American novelist, who
wrote The Good Earth, would bring Chinese culture to a US
audience. Henry Luce, later the founder
of the Time, Life, Fortune magazine empire was raised by a
missionary family in China. As an adult
in the post-World War Two period, he would use his influence to shape US public
opinion in support of Chinese nationalist forces against the Chinese communist
movement. In addition, Walter Judd, a
powerful Republican congressman from Minnesota, who was influenced by his
experience growing up in a missionary family in China, strongly advocated the
emerging anti-communist US approach to China, particularly giving support to the KMT forces.
The Russian revolution of 1917 helped spread Marxism
in China. In 1921, Chinese Marxists
organized the Communist Party of China (CPC), which became affiliated with the
Comintern, the “center” of international Communism in Moscow. The early CPC leadership included Li Dazhao,
Chen Duxiu and well as Mao Zedong. The
Comintern urged the young CPC to enter into a coalition with the much larger
KMT to advance the democratic revolution.
After the death of Sun Yatsen in 1925, one of his
deputies, Chiang Kai-shek, gained control of the KMT. He was a military man who transformed the
nationalist party to serve the interests of Chinese land owners and capitalists.
He sought to solidify control of the growing nationalist movement into a
political and fighting force that would defend the interests of wealthy Chinese. He also wanted to secure the support of
friends of China from missionary and political circles in the United States.
Chiang, aware of the rising popularity of communism and the party’s increasing membership among youth and urban
intellectuals, launched a massive terror campaign in 1927 to exterminate Chinese
communism. The terror campaign was vividly portrayed in Andre Malraux’s novel Man’s
Fate. Those communists who survived
the urban arrests and massacres fled to the countryside to establish a base
area. In the course of fighting over
years, the CPC built a strong guerrilla army, now largely peasant-based, to
defeat the forces of Chiang. Since the Kuomintang defended the interests of the
land owners, the Communist movement and its democratic reform program
increasingly resonated with the rural population.
Japan invaded northeast China in 1931 and established
the puppet state of Manchukuo. In 1937
Japan launched all-out war on China and attacked the whole country. Millions of Chinese civilians were killed in
the course of this long, brutal war. Chiang Kai-shek was forced by the desperate character of the invasion to
establish a nationwide united front against the Japanese invasion with his communist adversaries.
During World War Two, US military forces arrived on
the Chinese mainland as part of the alliance to fight the Japanese empire. Despite the KMT/CPC truce, many observers
reported that the KMT used the cease fire in the civil war to solidify their
military position rather than to fight the Japanese. General Joseph Stillwell,
a representative of President Roosevelt, warned the president that the Kuomintang
was unpopular and that the US after the war should refrain from taking sides on
any return to civil war. This view was confirmed by reports sent back to
Washington by State Department Asia experts stationed in China. Later these
experts would be castigated by Congress for being “soft on communism.”
After the Japanese were defeated in Asia, the United States resumed active support for the Kuomintang, including leaving troops in parts of China. In 1946 the US allotted one billion dollars in assistance to Chiang’s forces. Secretary of State George Marshall participated in a year’s negotiation in 1946 between the KMT and CPC to end the civil war. Ultimately these negotiations failed and full-scale civil war resumed. After three years of fighting, the civil war ended in October 1949 with the victory of the communist forces and the establishment of the People's Republic of China. The defeated KMT fled to and occupied the island of Taiwan. For US domestic purposes, Chiang's regime on Taiwan represented the "real" China. Thus, there would dawn a new era of US/Chinese relations because of “the fall of China.”
US Chinese Relations: Korea to Playing the
China Card Today
1949 was an apocryphal year for the United States. The
Soviet Union detonated its first atomic bomb in August and Chinese communist
armies marched into Beijing, ending the thirty-year civil war in that country.
The leader of the CPC, Mao Zedong, visited Moscow and signed a treaty of peace
and friendship with the Soviet Union. From the vantage point of the historic
vision of US empire, the fact that at least a quarter of humanity and one-third
of the land mass of the globe was “communist” stimulated fear and generated a
campaign of anti-communist hysteria at home and advocacy for an escalated arms
race internationally.
Truman’s advisors prepared a policy document, National
Security Document 68 (NSC 68) which called for a dramatic increase in military
spending. NSC 68 also recommended each president, while preparing an annual
federal budget, give the Department of Defense all it requests before allotting
any federal dollars for non-defense programs. (As analysists would compelling
argue in subsequent years, the US economy was stimulated to a significant
degree by military spending creating what Andrew Bacevich would call “a
permanent war economy”).
There was resistance to adopting the recommendations
of NSC 68 from fiscal conservatives in the Truman Administration until war
broke out in Korea and North Korean troops advanced south, thus launching the
three-year Korean War (a status of war that exists until this day). Six months
after the onset of the Korean War, United States/United Nations troops
successfully pushed North Korean troops deep into the north. Chinese troops then entered the war on the
side of North Korea. Chinese entrance
into the Korean War was prompted by US military advances all the way to the
Yalu River on the Chinese border, which China perceived as a prelude to
invasion of China proper. Many
influential US policy makers, particularly General Douglas MacArthur, had been
calling for direct war with China to end communist rule with the goal of
establishing China as a Christian nation.
US policy toward China continued to be hostile even after a cease fire was achieved in Korea in 1953. Senator Joseph McCarthy campaigned loudly on the premise that “China fell to communism” because of traitors in the US State Department. These state department personnel, the so-called “China hands,” had warned of the corruption of the KMT in reports to Washington during and after the world war; they were fired. And Vice President Nixon and leaders of both political parties launched a campaign to “keep China out of the United Nations.” President Truman and his successors refused to diplomatically recognize the new Chinese state, the People’s Republic of China. (The United States had not recognized the Soviet Union until 1933, and it would not officially recognize the PRC until 1979).
It is important to add that China participated with
countries of the Global South, many of which has recently achieved their
independence from colonial occupiers, in establishing a Nonaligned Movement. NAM was committed, not to East or West, but to
equity between North and South, particularly as to economic development. China, India, Ghana, Yugoslavia, and other
countries met at Bandung in 1955 and formally established NAM in the early
1960s. Their call was for peaceful
coexistence and their program would include the adoption of a New International
Economic Order. China, therefore, was
allied with the Soviet Union and the countries of the Global South.
Turmoil erupted elsewhere in Asia as well. The French sought to reestablish their colonial rule in Vietnam. And when that failed the United States stepped in to create and support an unpopular regime in South Vietnam, very much like the forces the US had supported in China and Korea. As the Vietnam War escalated in the 1950s and 1960s, the Chinese provided substantial military assistance and reconstruction projects to the North Vietnamese who were supporting their allies in the liberation struggle in the South. The Soviet Union also provided massive assistance to North Vietnam. Despite this, some analysts and policymakers who became opponents of the Vietnam War, such as Arkansas Senator J. William Fulbright, claimed that the Vietnam policy was erroneously driven by an opposition to China.
So, in the context of a continued arms race between
the United States and the Soviet Union, an escalating war in Vietnam that was
destroying the fabric of US society, liberation movements spreading in Asia,
Africa, and Latin America and the Sino/Soviet split, Richard Nixon, a
preeminent advocate for isolating China, was elected president of the United
States in 1968. He had pledged to end
the war in Vietnam. While most observers
of US politics did not trust Nixon, it seemed clear that the US war on Vietnam,
given the ruptures in US society and the declining relative power of the US on
the world stage, had to end.
Nixon and Kissinger Play the “China Card”
Beginning in 1969 President Richard Nixon, guided by his national security advisor, Henry Kissinger, fashioned a new policy toward China; what became known as “playing the China card.” It was motivated by a desire to push back and ultimately create regime change in the Soviet Union. Cognizant of growing hostilities between the two large communist states, Nixon and Kissinger developed this plan to play one off against the other. Central to this policy was launching a diplomatic process that led to the 1979 US formal diplomatic recognition of China. During the 1970s, the United States and China supported the same political allies in various parts of the world, Southern Africa and Southeast Asia for example. The split in the socialist world between the Soviet Union and China contributed to the ultimate collapse of the Soviet Union and the weakening of socialism, for a time, on the world stage. Thus, from a US imperial point of view “playing the China card” worked.
So Why Is the United States Playing the
China Card Differently and Returning to a Renewed Cold War?
The answer to this question, or more broadly why is
United States foreign policy returning to a policy hostile to China, perhaps
creating a “New Cold War,” has several parts. First, as Alfred McCoy has described (In
the Shadows of the American Century: The Rise and Decline of US Global Power, Haymarket
Books, 2017), the United States, relatively speaking, is a declining power. As
to economic growth, scientific and technological developments, productivity,
and trade, the US, compared to China particularly, is experiencing stagnation
or decline. China has engaged in massive
global projects in transportation, trade, and scientific advances and by 2030
based on many measures will advance beyond the US.
According to McCoy, the United States has embarked on
a path to overcome its declining relative economic hegemony by increasingly
investing in military advances: a space force, a new generation of nuclear
weapons, cyber security, biometrics, and maintaining or enhancing a global
military presence particularly in the Pacific (what Obama spokespersons called
“the Asian pivot”). In other words, rather than accommodating to a new
multipolar world in the 21st century, the United States is seeking
to reestablish its global hegemony through military means.
Second, the United States is desperately seeking to
overcome the ending of its monopoly on technological advances. In computerization, transportation,
pharmaceuticals, the US is challenging the legitimacy of Chinese innovations,
claiming that China’s advances are derived not from its domestic creativity but
from “pirating” from United States companies. For example, the prestigious and influential mainstream
Council on Foreign Relations issued a report last year entitled “Innovation and
National Security: Keeping Our Edge.” The
report warned that “…the United States risks falling behind its competitors,
principally China.” China is investing
significantly in new technologies, the Council claims, which they predict will
make China the biggest inventor by 2030. Also, to achieve this goal they are
“exploiting” the openness of the US by violating intellectual property rights
and spying. Therefore, the Council on
Foreign Relations concluded, since technological innovation is linked to
economic and military advantage and since US leadership in technology and
science is at risk, the nation must recommit to rebuilding its scientific
prowess.
Third, while the United States is engaged in
efforts at regime change around the world and is using brutal economic
sanctions to starve people into submission (such as in Venezuela, Cuba, Iran
and 36 other countries victimized by economic sanctions), China is increasing
its economic ties to these countries through investments, trade, and assistance;
China also opposes US policies in international organizations. In broad terms Chinese policy stands with the
majority of countries in the Global South while the United States seeks to
control developments there.
Fourth, although Trump’s foreign policy is designed to recreate a cold war, with China as the target, a policy also embraced by most Democrats, there is at the same time counter-pressure from sectors of the capitalist class who have ties to the Chinese economy: investment, global supply chains, and financial speculation. Moreover, China has substantial foreign investments and the government controls over $1 trillion of US debt. For these sectors of US capital, economic ties with China remain economically critical as they do for transnational capital, such as pointed to by writers such as Jerry Harris (Global Capitalism and the Crisis of Democracy, Clarity Press, 2016).
Consequently, while the trajectory of US policy is
toward a return to cold war, there is some push back by economic and political
elites as well. As the New York Times
article above put it, “In the United States, tycoons and business executives,
who exercise enormous sway among politicians of both parties, will continue to
push for a more moderate approach, as members of Mr. Trump’s cabinet who
represent Wall Street interests have done.”
Fifth, American domestic politics provide the
immediate cause of the transformation of US/China policy. President Donald Trump’s popularity is
declining dramatically because of the spread of the Covid-19 pandemic, its
impact on the US economy, and the rise of racial tensions in the country. A
classic antidote for politicians experiencing declining popularity is to
construct an external enemy, an “other,” which can redirect the attention of
the public from their personal troubles. President Trump has sought to deflect the
cause of the spreading pandemic onto the Chinese. It is this external enemy that is the source
of our domestic problems. In this
context the President is talking tough with the “enemy” of the United States,
and, as Secretary of State Pompeo suggests, it is about time that the US
government gives up illusions about working with China. Only a Trump
administration, he suggested, would be capable of doing this (forget President
Obama’s “Asian pivot”).
Finally, the ideological package of racism, white
supremacy, and American Exceptionalism so prevalent in United States history
has resurfaced in dramatic ways as the Trump administration and its allies have
opposed nationwide protests against police violence and structural racism. White supremacy at home is inextricably
connected with American Exceptionalism abroad. For example, President Theodore Roosevelt in
1910 claimed that the white race has been critical to civilization. Years later Madeleine Albright, the Secretary
of State in the Clinton Administration (and more recently President Barack Obama) spoke about the United States as
the “indispensable nation,” a model of economics and politics for the world. Pompeo continues this tradition claiming that
the United States stands for a “free 21st century.” This sense of omniscience has been basic to
the ideological justification of United States imperial rule.
Each of these elements, from the changing shape of economic and military capabilities to political exigencies, to the pathologies
of culture, require a peace and justice movement that stands for peaceful
coexistence, demilitarization, building a world of economic justice and the
rights of people to determine their own destiny, and inalterable opposition to
racism, white supremacy, and exceptionalism of any kind.
A version of the above essay appeared in Duncan
McFarland, ed. A China Reader, Changemaker, 2021.